Like
everything
else
in
life,
property
ages.
The
valuation
methodologies,which
we
describe
elsewhere
ion
the
website,
rarely
reflect
that
and,
instead,
assume
that
income
persists
in
perpetuity.
Yet
the
valuation
processes
typically
do
not
allow
for
a
sinking
fund
to
arrest
the
physical
or
economic
deterioration in properties.
The
chart
above
represents,
in
a
stylised
way,
how
a
property
is
initially
constructed.
At
that
point,
it
is
considered
‘prime’
-
new
or
nearly
new
-
with
a
full
life
expectancy.
Exactly
what
its
actual
life
is
going
to
be
cannot
be
determined.
Its
physical
life
will
largely
be
determined
by
how
well
the
various
components
-
services,
components,
structure,
etc
-
wear
over
time,
but
there
are
unknown
factors
such
as
changes
in
safety
requirements
or
thermal
insulation,
or
unexpected
premature
ageing.
In
general,
the
structural
frame,
whether
it
is
steel,
brick,
concrete
or
even
timber,
should
be
expected
to
have
a
physically
long
life
of
maybe
50
or
100
years
or
more,
with
the
remaining
parts
being
replaced
(much) more frequently.
After
a
number
of
years,
which
might
be,
say,
10,
the
property
becomes
redefined
from
prime
to
‘core’.
Nothing
physically
may
have
changed
significantly
to
the
property,
but
fashion
and
competition
from
new
developments
will
mean
that
it
is
not
quite
as
attractive
as
it
was
before.
Through
the
core
period,
increasing
amounts
of
maintenance
may
be
required,
particularly
to
services
such
as
air
conditioning
and
lifts.
Gradually,
however,
as
it
ages,
it
will
become
less
attractive
to
the
better
tenants
and
the
building
will
be
increasingly
looking
tired.
At
the
age
of,
say,
25
years,
it
may
well
be
considered
‘secondary.’
Eventually,
and
this
may
happen
because
of
difficulties
in
attracting
a
tenant,
a
major
refurbishment
will
be
required.
This
will
bring
back
to
a
core
condition.
Such
a
refurbishment
will
retain
the
physical
structure
and
replace
most
or
all
of
the
other
components,
including
the
services.
Before
then,
there
may
have
been
light
refurbishments,
replacing
fittings
and
finishes,
but
a
major
refurbishment
will
probably
require
planning
consent.
Eventually
after
a
number
of
further
years,
demolition may be the most suitable next stage.
However,
with
the
main
exception
of
residential
property,
the
factor
determining
the
life
of
a
life
of
building
could
possibly
be
economic
obsolescence.
This
means
that
the
building
may
physically
be
able
to
be
used
for
the
original
function
-
but
that
function
may
no
longer
be
economically
viable
(in
which
case
the
building
may
lie
empty)
or
there
may
be
an
alternative
use
which
is
financially
higher
value.
in
the
latter
case,
it
may
be
possible
to
convert
the
space
into
that
alternative
use.
If
that
is
not
possible, demolition and redevelopment might be an attractive option.
Although
economic
obsolescence
is
more
likely
to
occur
in
buildings
which
have
had
use
for
a
number
of
years,
it
is
certainly
not
inconceivable
that
it
can
occur
to
buildings
that
are
still
prime
or,
in
the
most
extreme
case,
still
under
construction.
The
latter
is
possible
in
a
period
where
market
values
are
rising
very
strongly
and
it
is
possible
to
redesign
the
building
to,
perhaps
add
additional
floors
or
change
the
specification
to
meet
demand
for
a
particular
requirement.
A
good
current
example
of
buildings
reaching
the
end
of
their
economic
life
before
they
are
physically
obsolete
is
in
the
retail
sector.
Shopping
centres
that
are
apparently
very
suitable
for
that
use
and
look
very
stylish
may
not
be
attracting
enough
tenant
demand
to
secure
substantial
occupancy.
In
turn,
that
can
depress
rental
values
even
amongst
the
tenants
who
are
still
trading.
It
may
then
be
viable
to
obtain
vacant
possession and convert to, typically, residential.
All
of
this
indicates
how,
even
at
the
most
fundamental
level,
the
returns
over
the
life
of
a
building
may
be
impossible
to
project.
An
appraisal
covering
a
5
or
10year
period
may
be
the
only
practical
assessment
that
can
be
produced,
although
that
will
expose
the
assessment
to
the
vagaries
of
the
cycle,
which
are
rarely
reflected
in
the
projections.
The
other
problem
will
be
the
expected
value
at
the
end point: that will be determined by the equivalent assessment made by the hypothetical purchaser.
Finally,
just
a
word
on
terminology.
As
a
building
ages,
so
it
depreciates,
whether
that
is
physical
or
economical.
The
depreciation
can
be
contained
or
arrested
by
spending
capital
on
it.
Sometimes
the
tenant
may
be
responsible
for
maintaining
the
building
during
the
term
of
a
lease,
but
refurbishment,
major
refurbishments
and
redevelopment
will
be
by
the
landlord
or
owner.
When
a
building
is
no
longer
fit for purpose, it is considered obsolete and, again, that may be physical or economic.
The life cycle of a property
Ltd